The Story Remains
Monday, April 12, 2021
With earnings season starting, it is important to remember the volatility story for 2021 and two important indicators suggesting the story is unlikely to change.
Not There Yet
Monday, April 05, 2021
With some economic indicators at multi-generational highs, it is worth remembering that stock prices will peak before economic data peak... but it doesn't look like we are quite there yet.
Monday, March 29, 2021
The surprising data coming in the Durable Goods report and from the Federal Reserve last week doesn’t change the overall story, and while the stock market will be closed, Friday's jobs report has upside potential.
Fundamentals, but still the Fed
Monday, March 22, 2021
The fundamentals continue to improve, and this will continue for at least a few more months, but it is still a Fed-driven story and that becomes a near-term headwind.
More of the Same... Again
Monday, March 15, 2021
Industrial Production and the FOMC announcement might both provide some volatility but will primarily just point to more of the same as the breadth on the Nasdaq signals a potential start of a new trend.
Monday, March 08, 2021
Higher interest rates tend to result in tighter economic conditions... but not now.
Monday, March 01, 2021
Employment data continues to show a strengthening labor market and, while it might not mean upside to estimates in the jobs report on Friday given the noise in the data, the strength points to continued improvement in the months ahead.
Maybe not your Friend
Monday, February 22, 2021
"Don't fight the Fed"... but the Fed might not be your friend this week and it comes at a time when investors are less bullish at higher prices... oh, and that chart pattern is a risk too.
Turning Up Again
Tuesday, February 16, 2021
There are some expectations for disappointing Industrial Production data, but the key is likely the fact that economic activity has started to improve for the first time since early December and there is still a long way to go as more restrictions ease.
Monday, February 08, 2021
Earnings and earnings estimates are now starting to catch up with the fundamentals, but as the guidance this earnings season tells us, there is still room to go... and the Fed's actions don't hurt either.