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Earnings Whisper Plays
The best earnings research
The most thorough sentiment data
Extensive quantitative studies
Technical analysis and chart setups
The Earnings Whisper Power Rating takes the earnings surprise to a whole new level to better capture the short-term Post-Earnings Announcement Drift (PEAD) during the initial trading days following an earnings release
737% Return
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As of December 31, 2015, the Earnings Whisper After-the-news Trades were up more than 737% after commissions, without margin, and without compounding returns

Earnings Whispers' Trader Services focus on combining the best earnings research (with the most accurate published earnings expectations anywhere), the most thorough sentiment data, extensive quantitative studies, and chart analysis to help traders take advantage of the short-term moves around earnings.

Our trades primarily consist of two types: 1) Before-the-news Trades and 2) After-the-news Trades. Both types of trades consist of long trades (buying) and short trades (selling short).

As of December 30, 2015, our Before-the-news Trades were up 452% and our After-the-news Trades were up 737% - after commissions without using margin and without compounding returns.

The Before-the-news Trades consist of stocks of companies that are primarily in the Momentum phase of the Earnings Expectation Life Cycle and the trades capitalize on the Earnings Announcement Premium (EAP) placed on such stocks ahead of the earnings news. The trades are entered three to four days before the company's earnings release and, depending on your risk tolerance, are exited either at the close before the earnings release or at the open immediately following the news.

Before-the-news Trades

For example, in the fourth quarter of 2014, the U.S. economy was growing well and oil prices had collapsed, created a perfect tailwind (get it) for Southwest Airlines (LUV) as passenger miles were increasing and its largest expense was dropping, leaving professional analysts expecting upside to consensus estimates. The consensus earnings estimate was $0.54 per share and the Earnings Whisper ® number was $0.58 per share. Investor sentiment was inductive to trading long ahead of earnings and our Earnings Whisper Score was a +5 meaning there was quantitative evidence the stock would see strength going into its earnings release and through the open following the news. Plus, the stock had pulled back while in an uptrend. On January 16, 2015 the stock was a Long Earnings Whisper Play ahead of its earnings release with the stock opening at $38.68. The stock closed the day before its earnings release at $41.83 and opened at $43.45 after the company reported earnings of $0.59 per share - for a total gain of 12.33%.

The After-the-news Trades consist of buying stocks of companies that beat the Earnings Whisper number, provided positive guidance, or both and holding the position for two trading days - the period of time when most of the Post Earnings Announcement Drift (PEAD) occurs. The After-the-news Trades also include shorting stocks of companies that miss the Earnings Whisper number.

After-the-news Long Trades

On January 29, 2015, Harmon International (HAR) reported earnings of $1.79 per share. This was above the consensus earnings estimate of $1.29 per share and the Earnings Whisper number of $1.33 per share. The company also raised its fiscal year earnings guidance. When these results were measured against investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release, it calculated to a Power Rating of 73 and made our play list for the day. The stock opened at $113.01 and closed the next trading day at $129.63 for a 14.7% gain.

After-the-news Short Trades

For those who like to trade short, DineEquity (DIN) reported earnings of $1.16 per share on February 25, 2015. This was above the consensus earnings estimate of $1.14 per share but below the Earnings Whisper number of $1.17 per share. When measured against investor sentiment heading into the earnings release, the results calculated to a Power Rating of 27 and the stock became a short trade (a strategy that makes money when a stock declines). The stock opened at $113.70 and, despite beating the consensus earnings estimate, closed after two trading days at $109.69 - a decline of 3.5%.

Trader subscribers get:

  • The daily Earnings Whisper Plays, along with discussion of the trade setup including: 1) areas of support and resistance, 2) target areas, 3) and the stock's past performance. The Plays are available on the website as well as a morning email sent prior to the start of each trading day.
  • A list of all stocks with an Earnings Whisper Score above +4 or below -4, which gives statistical support for a move higher or lower ahead of earnings. Click here for more information.
  • A daily list of all Power Ratings - a quantitative measure of a company's earnings compared to both professional analysts' expectations and investor sentiment. Click here for more information.
  • A list of Whisperings - brief comments from professional analysts about a company's upcoming earnings release
  • A list of stocks making technical breakouts or breakdowns that also have earnings statistics supporting the trade (in either direction).
  • Volatility trades - stocks with statistical support for a move in either direction with option contracts mispriced for the implied move - and the option trades to take advantage.
  • A list of unusual option activity ahead of a company's earnings release that often signals the positions of the "smart money".
  • Everything included under the Investor service, including the Earnings Whisper Calendar, the weekly Whisper Report, the Earnings Whisper Grades designed to identify the stocks most likely to see a longer-term Post-Earnings Announcement Drift, download data from the Earnings Calendar and your watchlist, and more.